Horse Racing Handicapping by Using Speed Figures to Estimate Form

Picking winners at the horse races is often a matterafter a particularly hard or taxing effort. It doesn't
of finding the horse that is in the best form. Eachmean anything bad as long as the following race finds
runner has a form cycle that may vary from horseit back in good shape with a better speed figure.
to horse. While the length of the cycle and timingHowever, I don't like to bet on a horse who bounced
may vary, one thing is certain, the horse at the topand hasn't shown that the next race is a good one,
of its form in a race that it is suited for, will have thein other words, don't bet the first race after the
advantage.bounce. It is better to see that it really has regained
Other than visual clues, such as the horse's bodyits winning attitude.
language, weight, and other factors, how can you tellAnother way to look for an improvement is to look
a horse is in what is often called, "mid-season form?"at the number of races a runner has had since it
One way is to look for an improvement in the speedstarted racing after a lay off. Many trainers are good
figures from race to race.at bringing a horse back to the races and winning
In other words, to see how fast it has run in its lastfirst time out, but that doesn't mean that will be the
races. I like to see a progression in speed from theanimal's best performance. If you are betting to
first race to the current race, but that doesn't meanmake money, look for the horse who has had some
every race has to be better than the prior race.recent races for "tighteners."
Sometimes a horse, for whatever reason, will throwThat means that a horse is conditioned by racing and
in a clinker, a bad race. It may be that it got caughtwhile it may have won its first or second start, those
in a speed dual, or that the trainer was tryingraces have also helped to condition it for better
something to see if it worked. It may also be thatfuture efforts. As a general rule of thumb (and once
the horse "bounced."again, this may vary according to the animal) the third
To bounce means that the racer had a let downrace after a layoff is often one of the best efforts.