Winning Long Shot Bets in Horse Racing Handicapping

Finding a long shot that wins at a good price is onejockey, it is also true that the jockey can only go as
of the great thrills for a handicapper, but there isfast as the horse can run. I have seen mediocre
usually a good reason for a horse going off at longjockeys beat Hall of Fame jockeys because they had
odds. Therefore, if you chase long shots, you'rethe better horse. Therefore, if you are looking for a
bound to go broke real fast.good long shot bet in a horse race, try to find a
The fact that the trainer or rider of a particular horsefavorite that is being over bet because the jockey is
hasn't won many races will often drive the odds up,a favorite of the crowd.
even though the horse is a solid contender. That isIt also helps if the horse being ridden by the top
because too much emphasis is placed on the abilitiesjockey is dropping in class. Though a drop in class
of the people involved with the horse and too littleoften helps a horse, if the horse's form is declining, it
emphasis is placed on the horse's ability.may have lost its ability to win, even at a lower level.
The reason so many handicappers place so muchThat top level jockey may have stayed on the
importance on the jockey or trainer is that most ofmount out of gratitude to the owner or trainer, but
the races are won by just a handful of top jockeyshe or she may also realize the horse has little chance
and top trainers at most tracks. Every once in aof winning. When an animal starts to lose its physical
while an obscure trainer or low percentage jockeyconditioning, it often loses its will to win and will
manages to win a race, and usually at good odds.disappoint, even at a lower class level.
The reason this happens is that the average bettorTherefore, find a top jockey on a horse that is over
likes to be reassured that he or she is betting on arated by the crowd in a race with a solid contender
proven professional conditioner or rider.being ridden by a little known jockey and you may
While it is true that the horse can't win without thefind an excellent long shot bet.